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SEA

12-18 over 30 games. Both ends of the floor, the schedule they played and the roster behind them — with every night of the season below.

Record
12-18
-7.2
59.3

01 / Season

THE WHOLE SEASON

Every metric carries its own league rank. Hover any name for a plain-English explanation, the arithmetic, and why the number is worth looking at.

Record

  • 12

    12th of 16

  • 18

    12th of 16

    lower is better

  • 40.0%

    12th of 16

  • -164.0

    12th of 16

Efficiency

  • 129.7

    11th of 16

  • 136.8

    13th of 16

    lower is better

  • -7.2

    12th of 16

Four Factors

  • 60.3%

    14th of 16

  • 64.2%

    13th of 16

  • 8.5%

    2nd of 16

    lower is better

  • 23.2%

    3rd of 16

  • 0.158

    13th of 16

Volume

  • 99.0

    11th of 16

  • 104.5

    12th of 16

    lower is better

  • 25.1

    12th of 16

  • 7.1

    3rd of 16

    lower is better

  • 3.51

    7th of 16

  • 31.3

    11th of 16

  • 7.8

    2nd of 16

  • 6.6

    3rd of 16

  • 1.9

    14th of 16

Context

  • 76.3

    14th of 16

  • 8.1

    1st of 16

  • 22.7

    10th of 16

  • 49.0

    15th of 16

  • 32.0%

    12th of 16

  • +2.4

    3rd of 16

  • 25.8

    13th of 16

    lower is better

  • 20.0%

    5th of 16

  • 40.0%

    7th of 16

  • +0.6

    4th of 16

  • -5.9

    13th of 16

  • 0.101

    3rd of 16

    lower is better

  • 9.9

    3rd of 16

  • 37.4%

    9th of 16

  • 42.5%

    12th of 16

Composite

  • 59.3

    11th of 16

  • -4.3

    12th of 16

02 / Splits

HOME AND AWAY

Home

7-8

15 games · 46.7% won

Away

5-10

15 games · 33.3% won

Close games / blowouts

6/ 12

within 5 points · 20+ point margins

9.6

wins the point margin implies · actual 12

+2.4

close games are near coin flips

25.8

standard deviation of per-game net rating

Four Factors, weighted

  1. 60.3%
  2. 8.5%
  3. 23.2%
  4. 0.158
True shooting · 50%
44/100
Assists per game · 30%
78/100
Ball security · 20%
70/100
MARIUS Score
59.3

TS 52–80% · AST/G 0–32 · TOV/G 5–12

03 / Game log

ALL 30 NIGHTS

12–18 · 30 games

SEA game log, UBA Season 3
GOpponentVenueResultPTS POSS
1CHIAL9398-580.4115.7121.9-6.221640101766
2PITAW105102+381.2129.4125.7+3.73153541856
3TBSAL94108-1477.5121.3139.3-18.12333262054
4DCSAW10865+4375.6142.885.9+56.823547154262
5VANHW10280+2277.0132.4103.8+28.623845142652
6CHIHW116110+677.6149.6141.8+7.73023082574
7PITHW121117+485.6141.3136.6+4.729636152264
8DCSHW10280+2276.0134.3105.3+29.03054364074
9DALHL97125-2877.8124.6160.6-36.01792284356
10HOUAW11487+2776.9148.2113.1+35.13363125952
11—AL97114-1778.6123.3145.0-21.624101942954
12OAKHL94124-3079.8117.7155.3-37.622925102430
13NYEHL96119-2383.3115.3142.9-27.631112321448
14VBNAW9586+977.0123.4111.7+11.720645171042
15DALAL87108-2177.4112.4139.5-27.123102641638
16NYEAL89100-1186.4103.1115.8-12.723113241444
17TORAL96109-13——————————
18DETHL93132-3982.1113.3160.8-47.528429103246
19LARHW10192+972.5139.3126.9+12.42752881556
20DETAW107100+777.8137.5128.5+9.03063273548
21MINHL109124-1580.8134.8153.4-18.62692492342
22TBSHL8287-577.8105.5111.9-6.4221042101046
23VBNHW9780+1776.3127.2104.9+22.323245122746
24LVSAL99108-978.0126.9138.4-11.526143372234
25VANAL109121-1284.1129.6143.9-14.3381325111562
26MINAL106110-483.8126.4131.2-4.82973662764
27TORHL87124-3772.2120.5171.7-51.225425102050
28LVSHL82116-3480.1102.4144.9-42.5257232928
29OAKAL98119-2178.5124.8151.6-26.7311326101240
30HOUHW9489+578.3120.1113.7+6.419840111642

04 / Cap

WHAT IT COSTS

10 contracts · $144.0M payroll · $21.0M under the cap

S4 payroll

$144.0M

10 contracts this season

Cap room

$21.0M

still to spend

Luxury-tax room

$71.0M

before the tax line

Dollars per win

$12.0M

12 wins bought

Committed beyond S4

$201.0M

already spent for S5 and S6

Salary concentration

0.118

HHI over 10 salaries

Top earner

Dylan Skywall

$30.0M

Team options / clauses

8/ 0

club options · trade clauses

The ledger over time — what this roster is already booked to cost in each season the export carries

Season 4

$144.0M

10 deals on the books

Season 5

$144.0M

10 deals on the books

0.0% against S4

Season 6

$57.0M

4 deals on the books

SEA contracts, UBA Season 3
PlayerPosTermOptionS4S5S6PTSValue
Dylan SkywallSF1+1Team+1$30.0M$30.0M—2780.38×
Demetrius OutlawSG2+1Team +1$15.0M$15.0M—3951.09×
Jackson SmokeC2+1Team +1$15.0M$15.0M———
James MurphySG2+1Player +1$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M3520.97×
Tariq OseiPF2+1Team+1$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M——
Tre RosePF2+1Team+1$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M——
Anthony CarterSG2+1Team +1$12.0M$12.0M—4691.62×
Holi OseiC2+1Team+1$12.0M$12.0M$12.0M——
DJ DineroSF2 Years—$10.0M$10.0M———
Jermaine HouseSF1+1Team +1$5.0M$5.0M———

05 / Notes

WHAT THE LOG SAYS

  • RECORD

    01

    12-18

    SEA finished 12-18, 11th in the league by wins.

    A 40.0% win rate over 30 games, outscoring opponents by -5.5 points a night. Their net rating of -7.2 ranks 12th, and the point margin says that record was worth 9.6 wins.

  • CONTEXT

    02

    -4.3

    SEA rate 12th on the Simple Rating System.

    Margin alone would put them at -5.5 points a game; the schedule they played rated 0.6, the 4th hardest in the league over the 29 games whose opponent is known. The two together rate them at -4.3, and they disagree with the raw margin by 1.2 points.

  • EFFICIENCY

    03

    129.7 / 136.8

    SEA scored 129.7 and conceded 136.8 points per 100 possessions.

    Offence ranks 11th, defence 13th — and on defence lower is better. Across 2,290 possessions at a pace of 76.3, that is a net rating of -7.2.

  • MARIUS

    04

    59.3

    SEA scored 59.3 on the MARIUS Score.

    Half of that is true shooting (64.2%), 30% is assists per game (25.1 — 12th in the league) and 20% is ball security (7.1 turnovers a game, 3rd — where lower is better).

  • MARIUS

    05

    9.3%

    SEA gave the ball away on 9.3% of their possessions.

    Basketball-Reference's definition puts the turnover rate at 8.5% of plays used — 7.1 turnovers per game. Both are shown because they answer slightly different questions: one is per possession, the other per play.

  • ANOMALY

    06

    108-65

    Their best night was a 108-65 win against DCS.

    Game 4, a net rating of 56.8 on 75.6 possessions. They made 47 of 78 shots and pulled in 47 rebounds. It came on the road.

  • ANOMALY

    07

    87-124

    Their worst night was a 87-124 loss against TOR.

    Game 27, a net rating of -51.2. They turned the ball over 4 times and gave up 50 points in the paint.

  • RECORD

    08

    5/6

    Their longest winning run was 5 games; the longest losing run 6.

    Read off the game log in order, so a streak is a real sequence of results rather than a count of wins. They also played 6 games decided by five points or fewer (20.0%) and 12 decided by twenty or more (40.0%).

  • RECORD

    09

    7-8

    At home SEA went 7-8; on the road 5-10.

    46.7% of home games won against 33.3% away. Their home net rating was -10.7 and their away net rating -3.4 — the same team, two different levels.

  • CONTEXT

    10

    -5.9

    SEA's scoring margin was -8.4 a game at home and -2.5 on the road.

    That is a home-court edge of -5.9 points a game. Across the league the host outscores the visitor by -1.4, so the venue is doing less for them than it does for the average team.

  • STYLE

    11

    25.8

    SEA's performance swung 25.8 net rating points between games.

    The standard deviation of their per-game net rating, across 29 games with a box score. The league's steadiest side sits near 18.8; the wildest near 33.6.

  • CONTRACT

    12

    50.0%

    Only 50.0% of SEA's $144.0M payroll can be matched to a season line.

    $72.0M is paid to players the stats export has no production for — usually new signings. No value figure can be computed for those deals, so the roster's efficiency is only partly knowable.