MIN
14-16 over 30 games. Both ends of the floor, the schedule they played and the roster behind them — with every night of the season below.
- Record
- 14-16
- -6.2
- 63.9
01 / Season
THE WHOLE SEASON
Every metric carries its own league rank. Hover any name for a plain-English explanation, the arithmetic, and why the number is worth looking at.
Record
-
14
10th of 16
-
16
10th of 16
lower is better
-
46.7%
10th of 16
-
-146.0
11th of 16
Efficiency
-
131.6
9th of 16
-
137.9
14th of 16
lower is better
-
-6.2
11th of 16
Four Factors
-
64.5%
10th of 16
-
66.0%
10th of 16
-
8.5%
4th of 16
lower is better
-
22.4%
5th of 16
-
0.165
12th of 16
Volume
-
102.9
9th of 16
-
107.8
15th of 16
lower is better
-
27.0
8th of 16
-
7.3
4th of 16
lower is better
-
3.72
5th of 16
-
30.4
14th of 16
-
7.0
4th of 16
-
5.9
10th of 16
-
2.4
12th of 16
Context
-
78.2
9th of 16
-
6.5
2nd of 16
-
18.6
14th of 16
-
57.1
8th of 16
-
34.4%
11th of 16
-
+3.7
2nd of 16
-
26.8
14th of 16
lower is better
-
23.3%
1st of 16
-
33.3%
12th of 16
-
+0.8
3rd of 16
-
-5.1
10th of 16
-
0.129
10th of 16
lower is better
-
7.8
10th of 16
-
42.7%
5th of 16
-
63.3%
8th of 16
Composite
-
63.9
9th of 16
-
-3.5
11th of 16
02 / Splits
HOME AND AWAY
Home
8-7
15 games · 53.3% won
Away
6-9
15 games · 40.0% won
Close games / blowouts
7/ 10
within 5 points · 20+ point margins
10.3
wins the point margin implies · actual 14
+3.7
close games are near coin flips
26.8
standard deviation of per-game net rating
Four Factors, weighted
- 64.5%
- 8.5%
- 22.4%
- 0.165
- True shooting · 50%
- 50/100
- Assists per game · 30%
- 84/100
- Ball security · 20%
- 68/100
- MARIUS Score
- 63.9
TS 52–80% · AST/G 0–32 · TOV/G 5–12
03 / Game log
ALL 30 NIGHTS
14–16 · 30 games
| G | Opponent | Venue | Result | PTS | POSS | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | H | L | 88 | 121 | -33 | 77.5 | 113.5 | 156.1 | -42.6 | 25 | 10 | 28 | 10 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | DET | A | L | 85 | 116 | -31 | 70.8 | 120.0 | 163.7 | -43.8 | 23 | 5 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 60 |
| 3 | LVS | A | L | 107 | 117 | -10 | 76.3 | 140.3 | 153.4 | -13.1 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 22 | 52 |
| 4 | HOU | A | W | 101 | 84 | +17 | 76.1 | 132.8 | 110.4 | +22.3 | 28 | 10 | 40 | 16 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | VAN | H | W | 140 | 136 | +4 | 91.5 | 153.0 | 148.7 | +4.4 | 29 | 6 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 76 |
| 6 | CHI | H | W | 97 | 94 | +3 | 82.3 | 117.9 | 114.2 | +3.6 | 26 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 12 | 64 |
| 7 | LAR | H | W | 111 | 99 | +12 | 77.1 | 144.0 | 128.4 | +15.6 | 29 | 7 | 25 | 6 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | TOR | A | L | 103 | 111 | -8 | 78.0 | 132.1 | 142.4 | -10.3 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 36 |
| 9 | CHI | A | L | 69 | 102 | -33 | 74.6 | 92.4 | 136.7 | -44.2 | 20 | 10 | 26 | 6 | 21 | 46 |
| 10 | TBS | A | W | 118 | 99 | +19 | 79.8 | 147.8 | 124.0 | +23.8 | 29 | 4 | 37 | 6 | 25 | 76 |
| 11 | VBN | H | W | 104 | 99 | +5 | 78.2 | 132.9 | 126.5 | +6.4 | 24 | 7 | 33 | 4 | 19 | 56 |
| 12 | HOU | H | W | 93 | 75 | +18 | 75.6 | 123.0 | 99.2 | +23.8 | 27 | 6 | 35 | 4 | 19 | 66 |
| 13 | DET | H | W | 96 | 89 | +7 | 79.4 | 120.9 | 112.1 | +8.8 | 25 | 9 | 39 | 8 | 24 | 56 |
| 14 | DCS | A | W | 104 | 80 | +24 | 70.5 | 147.5 | 113.4 | +34.0 | 28 | 6 | 36 | 4 | 15 | 64 |
| 15 | DAL | H | L | 96 | 120 | -24 | 76.5 | 125.5 | 156.8 | -31.4 | 28 | 5 | 20 | 7 | 25 | 56 |
| 16 | OAK | H | L | 75 | 120 | -45 | 73.9 | 101.5 | 162.4 | -60.9 | 22 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 28 | 46 |
| 17 | LVS | H | L | 115 | 128 | -13 | 85.2 | 135.0 | 150.3 | -15.3 | 29 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 33 | 52 |
| 18 | NYE | H | L | 106 | 135 | -29 | 80.4 | 131.9 | 168.0 | -36.1 | 23 | 6 | 24 | 4 | 32 | 50 |
| 19 | OAK | A | W | 112 | 108 | +4 | 79.7 | 140.5 | 135.5 | +5.0 | 28 | 5 | 29 | 9 | 17 | 54 |
| 20 | TOR | H | L | 103 | 123 | -20 | 80.6 | 127.8 | 152.6 | -24.8 | 26 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 18 | 54 |
| 21 | TBS | H | L | 98 | 115 | -17 | 79.7 | 122.9 | 144.3 | -21.3 | 27 | 8 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 58 |
| 22 | LAR | A | L | 103 | 105 | -2 | 78.4 | 131.4 | 133.9 | -2.6 | 30 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 6 | 52 |
| 23 | DAL | A | L | 94 | 113 | -19 | 59.2 | 158.8 | 190.9 | -32.1 | 25 | 9 | 27 | 3 | 10 | 48 |
| 24 | DCS | H | W | 107 | 90 | +17 | 79.0 | 135.4 | 113.9 | +21.5 | 30 | 9 | 44 | 12 | 15 | 64 |
| 25 | NYE | A | L | 98 | 133 | -35 | 84.0 | 116.6 | 158.3 | -41.6 | 25 | 8 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 42 |
| 26 | NYE | A | L | 118 | 121 | -3 | 86.8 | 135.9 | 139.4 | -3.5 | 29 | 12 | 23 | 14 | 13 | 64 |
| 27 | SEA | H | W | 110 | 106 | +4 | 85.2 | 129.0 | 124.4 | +4.7 | 29 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 15 | 74 |
| 28 | PIT | A | W | 115 | 108 | +7 | 70.6 | 162.9 | 153.0 | +9.9 | 29 | 3 | 31 | 2 | 23 | 60 |
| 29 | VAN | A | W | 117 | 76 | +41 | 76.0 | 154.0 | 100.1 | +54.0 | 32 | 7 | 38 | 9 | 20 | 64 |
| 30 | VBN | A | L | 105 | 111 | -6 | 82.9 | 126.6 | 133.9 | -7.2 | 24 | 11 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 62 |
04 / Cap
WHAT IT COSTS
14 contracts · $103.0M payroll · $62.0M under the cap
S4 payroll
$103.0M
14 contracts this season
Cap room
$62.0M
still to spend
Luxury-tax room
$112.0M
before the tax line
Dollars per win
$7.4M
14 wins bought
Committed beyond S4
$94.6M
already spent for S5 and S6
Salary concentration
0.086
HHI over 14 salaries
Top earner
Carson Cold
$12.0M
Team options / clauses
8/ 0
club options · trade clauses
The ledger over time — what this roster is already booked to cost in each season the export carries
Season 4
$103.0M
14 deals on the books
Season 5
$81.6M
10 deals on the books
-20.8% against S4
Season 6
$13.0M
2 deals on the books
| Player | Pos | Term | Option | S4 | S5 | S6 | PTS | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Cold | SF | 2+1 | Team +1 | $12.0M | $12.0M | — | 233 | 0.80× |
| Teddy Romero | PG | 2+1 | Team +1 | $12.0M | $12.0M | — | 570 | 1.96× |
| Trey Bird | SG | 2+1 | Team +1 | $12.0M | — | — | 209 | 0.72× |
| John Levi | C | 2 years | — | $9.0M | $9.0M | — | 222 | 1.02× |
| Jeremy Johnson | SG | 2 Years | — | $8.5M | $8.5M | — | — | — |
| World B Fresh | — | 2 Years | — | $8.5M | $8.5M | — | — | — |
| Kay Dog* | C | 2+1 | Team +1 | $8.0M | $5.6M | — | 255 | 1.32× |
| Quinn Harper | PG | 2 Years | — | $8.0M | $8.0M | — | — | — |
| Javier Alverez | PF | 2+1 | Team +1 | $7.0M | $7.0M | $7.0M | 122 | 0.72× |
| Johnathan Harris | PF | 2+1 | — | $6.0M | $6.0M | $6.0M | 205 | 1.41× |
| Vladimir Ivanov | — | 2 Years | — | $5.0M | $5.0M | — | — | — |
| Josh Baker | PG | 1+1 | Team +1 | $3.0M | — | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Collins | SF | 1+1 | Team +1 | $2.0M | — | — | 0 | — |
| Martinos Jakubas | PF | 1+1 | Team +1 | $2.0M | — | — | 11 | 0.23× |
05 / Notes
WHAT THE LOG SAYS
RECORD
01
14-16
MIN finished 14-16, 9th in the league by wins.
A 46.7% win rate over 30 games, outscoring opponents by -4.9 points a night. Their net rating of -6.2 ranks 11th, and the point margin says that record was worth 10.3 wins.
CONTEXT
02
-3.5
MIN rate 11th on the Simple Rating System.
Margin alone would put them at -4.9 points a game; the schedule they played rated 0.8, the 3rd hardest in the league over the 30 games whose opponent is known. The two together rate them at -3.5, and they disagree with the raw margin by 1.3 points.
EFFICIENCY
03
131.6 / 137.9
MIN scored 131.6 and conceded 137.9 points per 100 possessions.
Offence ranks 9th, defence 14th — and on defence lower is better. Across 2,346 possessions at a pace of 78.2, that is a net rating of -6.2.
MARIUS
04
63.9
MIN scored 63.9 on the MARIUS Score.
Half of that is true shooting (66.0%), 30% is assists per game (27.0 — 8th in the league) and 20% is ball security (7.3 turnovers a game, 4th — where lower is better).
MARIUS
05
9.3%
MIN gave the ball away on 9.3% of their possessions.
Basketball-Reference's definition puts the turnover rate at 8.5% of plays used — 7.3 turnovers per game. Both are shown because they answer slightly different questions: one is per possession, the other per play.
ANOMALY
06
117-76
Their best night was a 117-76 win against VAN.
Game 29, a net rating of 54.0 on 76.0 possessions. They made 49 of 73 shots and pulled in 38 rebounds. It came on the road.
ANOMALY
07
75-120
Their worst night was a 75-120 loss against OAK.
Game 16, a net rating of -60.9. They turned the ball over 9 times and gave up 46 points in the paint.
RECORD
08
5/4
Their longest winning run was 5 games; the longest losing run 4.
Read off the game log in order, so a streak is a real sequence of results rather than a count of wins. They also played 7 games decided by five points or fewer (23.3%) and 10 decided by twenty or more (33.3%).
RECORD
09
8-7
At home MIN went 8-7; on the road 6-9.
53.3% of home games won against 40.0% away. Their home net rating was -9.2 and their away net rating -3.1 — the same team, two different levels.
CONTEXT
10
-5.1
MIN's scoring margin was -7.4 a game at home and -2.3 on the road.
That is a home-court edge of -5.1 points a game. Across the league the host outscores the visitor by -1.4, so the venue is doing less for them than it does for the average team.
STYLE
11
26.8
MIN's performance swung 26.8 net rating points between games.
The standard deviation of their per-game net rating, across 30 games with a box score. The league's steadiest side sits near 18.8; the wildest near 33.6.
CONTRACT
12
$62.0M
MIN has more cap room than anyone: $62.0M to spend.
Its $103.0M payroll is the 16th-largest in the league, leaving the front office the most room of any club to add to a 14-16 roster.