HOU
2-28 over 30 games. Both ends of the floor, the schedule they played and the roster behind them — with every night of the season below.
- Record
- 2-28
- -22.2
- 43.9
01 / Season
THE WHOLE SEASON
Every metric carries its own league rank. Hover any name for a plain-English explanation, the arithmetic, and why the number is worth looking at.
Record
-
2
15th of 16
-
28
15th of 16
lower is better
-
6.7%
15th of 16
-
-512.0
15th of 16
Efficiency
-
114.6
15th of 16
-
136.8
12th of 16
lower is better
-
-22.2
15th of 16
Four Factors
-
59.0%
15th of 16
-
60.2%
15th of 16
-
11.9%
15th of 16
lower is better
-
17.2%
12th of 16
-
0.154
15th of 16
Volume
-
88.2
15th of 16
-
105.3
13th of 16
lower is better
-
24.8
13th of 16
-
9.9
15th of 16
lower is better
-
2.51
16th of 16
-
29.4
15th of 16
-
6.2
10th of 16
-
5.4
15th of 16
-
2.6
10th of 16
Context
-
77.0
12th of 16
-
4.6
13th of 16
-
25.5
4th of 16
-
49.7
14th of 16
-
7.8%
15th of 16
-
-0.3
7th of 16
-
19.8
2nd of 16
lower is better
-
13.3%
10th of 16
-
43.3%
6th of 16
-
+1.0
2nd of 16
-
+0.4
7th of 16
-
0.079
1st of 16
lower is better
-
12.7
1st of 16
-
52.5%
1st of 16
-
37.5%
14th of 16
Composite
-
43.9
15th of 16
-
-15.5
15th of 16
02 / Splits
HOME AND AWAY
Home
1-13
14 games · 7.1% won
Away
1-15
16 games · 6.3% won
Close games / blowouts
4/ 13
within 5 points · 20+ point margins
2.3
wins the point margin implies · actual 2
-0.3
close games are near coin flips
19.8
standard deviation of per-game net rating
Four Factors, weighted
- 59.0%
- 11.9%
- 17.2%
- 0.154
- True shooting · 50%
- 29/100
- Assists per game · 30%
- 77/100
- Ball security · 20%
- 30/100
- MARIUS Score
- 43.9
TS 52–80% · AST/G 0–32 · TOV/G 5–12
03 / Game log
ALL 30 NIGHTS
2–28 · 30 games
| G | Opponent | Venue | Result | PTS | POSS | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYE | A | L | 96 | 113 | -17 | 79.6 | 120.7 | 142.0 | -21.4 | 22 | 5 | 32 | 4 | 17 | 64 |
| 2 | MIN | H | L | 84 | 101 | -17 | 75.4 | 111.4 | 134.0 | -22.5 | 21 | 11 | 28 | 4 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | DCS | A | W | 106 | 88 | +18 | 77.6 | 136.5 | 113.3 | +23.2 | 27 | 10 | 36 | 9 | 50 | 52 |
| 4 | OAK | H | L | 90 | 101 | -11 | 73.4 | 122.6 | 137.6 | -15.0 | 32 | 7 | 27 | 7 | 23 | 58 |
| 5 | VBN | H | L | 77 | 85 | -8 | 75.4 | 102.1 | 112.7 | -10.6 | 25 | 11 | 38 | 4 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | LVS | H | L | 76 | 102 | -26 | 72.3 | 105.1 | 141.1 | -36.0 | 18 | 10 | 34 | 6 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | LAR | H | L | 88 | 97 | -9 | 76.0 | 115.8 | 127.6 | -11.8 | 26 | 7 | 35 | 12 | 13 | 62 |
| 8 | MIN | A | L | 75 | 93 | -18 | 72.2 | 103.9 | 128.8 | -24.9 | 24 | 8 | 33 | 2 | 20 | 46 |
| 9 | VBN | A | L | 82 | 111 | -29 | 77.4 | 105.9 | 143.4 | -37.5 | 21 | 14 | 29 | 6 | 35 | 50 |
| 10 | TOR | H | L | 86 | 120 | -34 | 75.3 | 114.2 | 159.4 | -45.2 | 22 | 14 | 26 | 9 | 22 | 44 |
| 11 | SEA | H | L | 87 | 114 | -27 | 79.5 | 109.4 | 143.4 | -34.0 | 27 | 13 | 24 | 2 | 38 | 64 |
| 12 | LVS | A | L | 89 | 118 | -29 | 77.4 | 115.0 | 152.5 | -37.5 | 20 | 15 | 26 | 2 | 33 | 42 |
| 13 | LAR | A | L | 96 | 107 | -11 | 75.8 | 126.6 | 141.1 | -14.5 | 30 | 6 | 27 | 4 | 28 | 58 |
| 14 | TOR | A | L | 105 | 121 | -16 | 83.2 | 126.2 | 145.4 | -19.2 | 33 | 8 | 23 | 4 | 29 | 72 |
| 15 | VAN | A | L | 92 | 96 | -4 | 78.3 | 117.5 | 122.6 | -5.1 | 27 | 6 | 40 | 6 | 37 | 48 |
| 16 | CHI | H | L | 72 | 110 | -38 | 78.2 | 92.1 | 140.7 | -48.6 | 26 | 13 | 25 | 2 | 25 | 38 |
| 17 | DCS | H | W | 114 | 92 | +22 | 79.9 | 142.6 | 115.1 | +27.5 | 28 | 8 | 42 | 4 | 18 | 72 |
| 18 | DAL | A | L | 71 | 100 | -29 | 76.6 | 92.6 | 130.5 | -37.8 | 21 | 10 | 28 | 4 | 15 | 42 |
| 19 | NYE | H | L | 92 | 125 | -33 | 83.3 | 110.5 | 150.1 | -39.6 | 25 | 9 | 20 | 0 | 37 | 54 |
| 20 | PIT | H | L | 91 | 100 | -9 | 74.2 | 122.6 | 134.7 | -12.1 | 24 | 11 | 32 | 2 | 20 | 52 |
| 21 | DET | A | L | 98 | 120 | -22 | 80.0 | 122.6 | 150.1 | -27.5 | 28 | 8 | 33 | 5 | 35 | 32 |
| 22 | CHI | A | L | 73 | 115 | -42 | 76.0 | 96.1 | 151.4 | -55.3 | 15 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 36 |
| 23 | TBS | A | L | 85 | 101 | -16 | 77.2 | 110.1 | 130.8 | -20.7 | 27 | 12 | 26 | 0 | 29 | 56 |
| 24 | TBS | H | L | 85 | 92 | -7 | 72.8 | 116.7 | 126.3 | -9.6 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 32 |
| 25 | PIT | A | L | 85 | 90 | -5 | 73.6 | 115.5 | 122.3 | -6.8 | 22 | 11 | 38 | 8 | 34 | 54 |
| 26 | DAL | A | L | 103 | 111 | -8 | 74.1 | 139.0 | 149.8 | -10.8 | 26 | 15 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 40 |
| 27 | DET | H | L | 84 | 118 | -34 | 80.7 | 104.1 | 146.2 | -42.1 | 23 | 15 | 28 | 0 | 39 | 40 |
| 28 | OAK | A | L | 79 | 122 | -43 | 74.0 | 106.8 | 165.0 | -58.1 | 17 | 10 | 21 | 8 | 21 | 44 |
| 29 | SEA | A | L | 89 | 94 | -5 | 82.1 | 108.4 | 114.5 | -6.1 | 30 | 9 | 35 | 4 | 28 | 60 |
| 30 | VAN | H | L | 96 | 101 | -5 | 77.4 | 124.0 | 130.5 | -6.5 | 28 | 4 | 28 | 5 | 15 | 34 |
04 / Cap
WHAT IT COSTS
12 contracts · $167.5M payroll · over the salary cap
S4 payroll
$167.5M
12 contracts this season
Over the cap by
$2.5M
negative room
Luxury-tax room
$47.5M
before the tax line
Dollars per win
$83.8M
2 wins bought
Committed beyond S4
$153.0M
already spent for S5 and S6
Salary concentration
0.157
HHI over 12 salaries
Top earner
Chester Chess
$55.0M
Team options / clauses
6/ 0
club options · trade clauses
The ledger over time — what this roster is already booked to cost in each season the export carries
Season 4
$167.5M
12 deals on the books
Season 5
$138.0M
8 deals on the books
-17.6% against S4
Season 6
$15.0M
1 deals on the books
| Player | Pos | Term | Option | S4 | S5 | S6 | PTS | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester Chess | PF | 1+1 | Player +1 | $55.0M | $55.0M | — | 990 | 0.74× |
| Indiana Mills | C | 2 Years | — | $18.0M | $18.0M | — | 389 | 0.89× |
| Josh Harper | C | 2+1 | Team +1 | $15.0M | $15.0M | $15.0M | — | — |
| Lou Hall | PG | 2+1 | Team +1 | $15.0M | $15.0M | — | 410 | 1.13× |
| Jerry Kirkland | SG | 2+1 | Team +1 | $12.0M | — | — | 215 | 0.74× |
| Rex Jordan | PG | 2+1 | Team +1 | $12.0M | $12.0M | — | 191 | 0.66× |
| Dylan Munoz | SG | 2 Years | — | $10.0M | $10.0M | — | — | — |
| Johnny Hancock | PG | 1+1 | Team +1 | $10.0M | — | — | 46 | 0.19× |
| Wayne Gretzky | SF | 2 Years | — | $8.0M | $8.0M | — | — | — |
| Joonas Hodorson | PF | 1+1 | Team +1 | $5.0M | $5.0M | — | 149 | 1.23× |
| Jaded Vizz | — | 1 Year | — | $4.0M | — | — | — | — |
| Thad Castle Jr | C | 1 Year | — | $3.5M | — | — | — | — |
05 / Notes
WHAT THE LOG SAYS
RECORD
01
2-28
HOU finished 2-28, 15th in the league by wins.
A 6.7% win rate over 30 games, outscoring opponents by -17.1 points a night. Their net rating of -22.2 ranks 15th, and the point margin says that record was worth 2.3 wins.
CONTEXT
02
-15.5
HOU rate 15th on the Simple Rating System.
Margin alone would put them at -17.1 points a game; the schedule they played rated 1.0, the 2nd hardest in the league over the 30 games whose opponent is known. The two together rate them at -15.5, and they disagree with the raw margin by 1.6 points.
EFFICIENCY
03
114.6 / 136.8
HOU scored 114.6 and conceded 136.8 points per 100 possessions.
Offence ranks 15th, defence 12th — and on defence lower is better. Across 2,309 possessions at a pace of 77.0, that is a net rating of -22.2.
MARIUS
04
43.9
HOU scored 43.9 on the MARIUS Score.
Half of that is true shooting (60.2%), 30% is assists per game (24.8 — 13th in the league) and 20% is ball security (9.9 turnovers a game, 15th — where lower is better).
MARIUS
05
12.8%
HOU gave the ball away on 12.8% of their possessions.
Basketball-Reference's definition puts the turnover rate at 11.9% of plays used — 9.9 turnovers per game. Both are shown because they answer slightly different questions: one is per possession, the other per play.
ANOMALY
06
114-92
Their best night was a 114-92 win against DCS.
Game 17, a net rating of 27.5 on 79.9 possessions. They made 46 of 71 shots and pulled in 42 rebounds. It came at home.
ANOMALY
07
79-122
Their worst night was a 79-122 loss against OAK.
Game 28, a net rating of -58.1. They turned the ball over 10 times and gave up 44 points in the paint.
RECORD
08
1/13
Their longest winning run was 1 game; the longest losing run 13.
Read off the game log in order, so a streak is a real sequence of results rather than a count of wins. They also played 4 games decided by five points or fewer (13.3%) and 13 decided by twenty or more (43.3%).
RECORD
09
1-13
At home HOU went 1-13; on the road 1-15.
7.1% of home games won against 6.3% away. Their home net rating was -22.0 and their away net rating -22.3 — the same team, two different levels.
CONTEXT
10
+0.4
HOU's scoring margin was -16.9 a game at home and -17.3 on the road.
That is a home-court edge of 0.4 points a game. Across the league the host outscores the visitor by -1.4, so their own building is worth more to them than the average one.
STYLE
11
19.8
HOU's performance swung 19.8 net rating points between games.
The standard deviation of their per-game net rating, across 30 games with a box score. The league's steadiest side sits near 18.8; the wildest near 33.6.
CONTRACT
12
$83.8M
HOU pays $83.8M for every win — the most expensive results in the league.
$167.5M bought just 2 wins, a cost per win that dwarfs the $9.6M the average team spends.