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LAR

10-20 over 30 games. Both ends of the floor, the schedule they played and the roster behind them — with every night of the season below.

Record
10-20
-13.2
53.5

01 / Season

THE WHOLE SEASON

Every metric carries its own league rank. Hover any name for a plain-English explanation, the arithmetic, and why the number is worth looking at.

Record

  • 10

    14th of 16

  • 20

    14th of 16

    lower is better

  • 33.3%

    14th of 16

  • -296.0

    14th of 16

Efficiency

  • 125.6

    13th of 16

  • 138.8

    15th of 16

    lower is better

  • -13.2

    14th of 16

Four Factors

  • 63.0%

    11th of 16

  • 64.5%

    11th of 16

  • 11.2%

    13th of 16

    lower is better

  • 22.1%

    7th of 16

  • 0.189

    7th of 16

Volume

  • 94.0

    14th of 16

  • 103.9

    11th of 16

    lower is better

  • 24.7

    14th of 16

  • 9.2

    12th of 16

    lower is better

  • 2.69

    13th of 16

  • 30.5

    13th of 16

  • 7.2

    3rd of 16

  • 4.7

    16th of 16

  • 1.6

    16th of 16

Context

  • 74.9

    16th of 16

  • 5.4

    7th of 16

  • 24.2

    6th of 16

  • 61.6

    7th of 16

  • 19.8%

    14th of 16

  • +4.1

    1st of 16

  • 32.3

    15th of 16

    lower is better

  • 3.3%

    15th of 16

  • 53.3%

    3rd of 16

  • +0.2

    6th of 16

  • -9.7

    15th of 16

  • 0.099

    2nd of 16

    lower is better

  • 10.1

    2nd of 16

  • 45.8%

    4th of 16

  • 28.5%

    15th of 16

Composite

  • 53.5

    13th of 16

  • -9.1

    14th of 16

02 / Splits

HOME AND AWAY

Home

5-10

15 games · 33.3% won

Away

5-10

15 games · 33.3% won

Close games / blowouts

1/ 16

within 5 points · 20+ point margins

5.9

wins the point margin implies · actual 10

+4.1

close games are near coin flips

32.3

standard deviation of per-game net rating

Four Factors, weighted

  1. 63.0%
  2. 11.2%
  3. 22.1%
  4. 0.189
True shooting · 50%
45/100
Assists per game · 30%
77/100
Ball security · 20%
40/100
MARIUS Score
53.5

TS 52–80% · AST/G 0–32 · TOV/G 5–12

03 / Game log

ALL 30 NIGHTS

10–20 · 30 games

LAR game log, UBA Season 3
GOpponentVenueResultPTS POSS
1NYEAW11192+1976.1145.9120.9+25.02992842862
2DALHL83107-2475.2110.4142.4-31.924102301854
3PITAW11397+1679.4142.4122.2+20.2251141112182
4MINAL99111-1274.8132.3148.3-16.030103082162
5VBNHL89121-3275.5117.8160.2-42.423142522858
6LVSAL93106-1374.4125.0142.5-17.5251430111872
7DETHL89123-3476.3116.7161.2-44.624132604458
8DETAL87102-1574.9116.2136.2-20.015103622760
9VBNAL8696-1081.0106.2118.6-12.42183601660
10HOUAW9788+974.6130.0118.0+12.12673532556
11SEAHW11497+1778.6145.0123.4+21.630123571682
12HOUHW10796+1176.0140.8126.3+14.527103452960
13DCSAW10577+2873.4143.1105.0+38.226114872950
14OAKAW117106+1178.2149.6135.5+14.12943163690
15LVSHL6498-3473.986.6132.6-46.02093101736
16CHIHL88111-2370.1125.6158.4-32.822725123362
17TORAL91106-1572.5125.5146.2-20.7201134132268
18VANHW11774+4378.5149.194.3+54.83354121870
19DCSHW11978+4177.6153.4100.5+52.83043942996
20SEAAL92101-972.3127.3139.7-12.523123262160
21MINHW105103+278.6133.6131.0+2.52562901460
22OAKHL78132-5473.4106.3179.8-73.62392022746
23DALAL86106-2070.6121.8150.1-28.31842821746
24VANAL90115-2574.4121.0154.6-33.630122552262
25VANAL91107-1679.5114.5134.6-20.1251429132962
26NYEHL83119-3677.8106.7153.0-46.32192462040
27PITHL85114-2971.6118.6159.1-40.530132842562
28CHIAL80103-2368.6116.6150.1-33.52572583258
29TORHL90115-2571.4126.1161.2-35.02532482856
30TBSHL72116-4467.1107.3172.9-65.618823121558

04 / Cap

WHAT IT COSTS

12 contracts · $129.0M payroll · $36.0M under the cap

S4 payroll

$129.0M

12 contracts this season

Cap room

$36.0M

still to spend

Luxury-tax room

$86.0M

before the tax line

Dollars per win

$12.9M

10 wins bought

Committed beyond S4

$147.8M

already spent for S5 and S6

Salary concentration

0.095

HHI over 12 salaries

Top earner

Doc Holliday

$15.0M

Team options / clauses

7/ 0

club options · trade clauses

The ledger over time — what this roster is already booked to cost in each season the export carries

Season 4

$129.0M

12 deals on the books

Season 5

$119.4M

11 deals on the books

-7.4% against S4

Season 6

$28.4M

3 deals on the books

LAR contracts, UBA Season 3
PlayerPosTermOptionS4S5S6PTSValue
Doc HollidaySF2+1Team +1$15.0M$15.0M—5471.51×
Jalen Falcone IIISF1+1Mutual +1$15.0M$15.0M—3080.85×
Paris RussellPF1+1Mutual +1$15.0M$15.0M—4691.29×
Rylan RosierC2+1Team +1$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M——
DJ Mull IIIPG2+1(ext 2+1)Team +1$12.0M$7.4M$7.4M2200.76×
Kaito TakahashiPF2+1Team +1$12.0M$12.0M—1750.60×
Xavier VowsC2+1Team +1$12.0M$12.0M—2510.87×
Ajay DexterPF2 Years—$10.0M$10.0M———
Cody WhodeyPG2 Years—$8.0M$8.0M———
Tamotu Tonumaipe'aSG2+1Team +1$6.0M$6.0M$6.0M1030.71×
Joey WheelerPG1+1Team +1$5.0M——150.12×
Wood Windley—2 years—$4.0M$4.0M———

05 / Notes

WHAT THE LOG SAYS

  • RECORD

    01

    10-20

    LAR finished 10-20, 13th in the league by wins.

    A 33.3% win rate over 30 games, outscoring opponents by -9.9 points a night. Their net rating of -13.2 ranks 14th, and the point margin says that record was worth 5.9 wins.

  • CONTEXT

    02

    -9.1

    LAR rate 14th on the Simple Rating System.

    Margin alone would put them at -9.9 points a game; the schedule they played rated 0.2, the 6th hardest in the league over the 30 games whose opponent is known. The two together rate them at -9.1, and they disagree with the raw margin by 0.7 points.

  • EFFICIENCY

    03

    125.6 / 138.8

    LAR scored 125.6 and conceded 138.8 points per 100 possessions.

    Offence ranks 13th, defence 15th — and on defence lower is better. Across 2,246 possessions at a pace of 74.9, that is a net rating of -13.2.

  • MARIUS

    04

    53.5

    LAR scored 53.5 on the MARIUS Score.

    Half of that is true shooting (64.5%), 30% is assists per game (24.7 — 14th in the league) and 20% is ball security (9.2 turnovers a game, 12th — where lower is better).

  • MARIUS

    05

    12.3%

    LAR gave the ball away on 12.3% of their possessions.

    Basketball-Reference's definition puts the turnover rate at 11.2% of plays used — 9.2 turnovers per game. Both are shown because they answer slightly different questions: one is per possession, the other per play.

  • ANOMALY

    06

    117-74

    Their best night was a 117-74 win against VAN.

    Game 18, a net rating of 54.8 on 78.5 possessions. They made 47 of 71 shots and pulled in 41 rebounds. It came at home.

  • ANOMALY

    07

    78-132

    Their worst night was a 78-132 loss against OAK.

    Game 22, a net rating of -73.6. They turned the ball over 9 times and gave up 46 points in the paint.

  • RECORD

    08

    5/9

    Their longest winning run was 5 games; the longest losing run 9.

    Read off the game log in order, so a streak is a real sequence of results rather than a count of wins. They also played 1 games decided by five points or fewer (3.3%) and 16 decided by twenty or more (53.3%).

  • RECORD

    09

    5-10

    At home LAR went 5-10; on the road 5-10.

    33.3% of home games won against 33.3% away. Their home net rating was -19.7 and their away net rating -6.7 — the same team, two different levels.

  • CONTEXT

    10

    -9.7

    LAR's scoring margin was -14.7 a game at home and -5.0 on the road.

    That is a home-court edge of -9.7 points a game. Across the league the host outscores the visitor by -1.4, so the venue is doing less for them than it does for the average team.

  • STYLE

    11

    32.3

    LAR's performance swung 32.3 net rating points between games.

    The standard deviation of their per-game net rating, across 30 games with a box score. The league's steadiest side sits near 18.8; the wildest near 33.6.

  • CONTRACT

    12

    $15.0M

    LAR pays Doc Holliday $15.0M — 11.6% of its payroll.

    A roster of 12 on $129.0M, comfortably under the cap. The spending is spread fairly evenly across the squad.